Tuesday, October 26, 2010

"Closet Ford" people confused pollsters

Toronto Sun with analysis of what went wrong in the polls. It's sources note failure to check the thinking of older people and the cleverly named "closet Ford supporters." The Globe and Mail is covering similar ground and concludes as follows.

Even after Mr. Ford took a commanding early lead, many on the beat still struggled or refused to believe he could sustain his popularity, given his history as an outsider prone to gaffes. The apparent late-game rally from the veteran Mr. Smitherman made more sense.

It's a rather distressing idea. Reporters just didn't find it logical that Ford might be doing better. So they ignored the prospect completely. That of course does not explain how scientific polls were so wrong.

No comments:

Blog Archive